CHARLES HUGH SMITH'S
NEW SERIES RELEASE
Sultans of Swap
Extend & Pretend
Preserve & Protect
Current Thesis Advisory:
W/ RICHARD DUNCAN
Reading the right books?
We have analyzed & included
OUR MACRO ANALYTIC
John Rubino's Just Released Book
Charles Hugh Smith's Latest Books
Our Macro Watch Partner
Richard Duncan Latest Books
F William Engdahl
OTHERS OF NOTE
DON'T BE CONCERNED - YET!
What We Now Expect
FIRST - HOW WE GOT HERE
1 - A TEXT BOOK LOG-PERIODIC CYCLE ENDS - Right on Schedule
The market rise from the 2008 lows has followed a very ordered pattern that was best modeled using the mathematician Dr. Didier Sornette's Log-Periodic Cycle. We adopted it with the announcment of QE3.
2 -OUR NOVEMBER 25TH POST CALLING FOR SANTA CLAUS RALLY
In November as the Budget wrangling and government shutdown discussions awaited the December Super Committee's recommendations, it was clear that after a brief consolidation therer would be a strong Santa Claus rally. A Rally that would continue until later January.
3 - OUR DECEMBER 24TH POST CALLING FOR JANUARY 14TH TURN
As the Santa Claus rally took hold, it became clear that thew terminal point was after January 14th. The market high was in fact January 15th.
WHAT IS NEXT
NOW WATCH FOR THE SMALL "M' TOP - As DR (Real Deflation) Begins
If you expand the schematic below, you will see the stages we expect to unfold going forward regarding Deflation and Hyperinflation. They are still ahead and labeled by the large "M" Top consisting of the the Read Defaltion leg (DR) and the Hyperinflation leg (H1).
OUR DECEMBER CALL OF A 'AFTER JANUARY 14th TURN' - The Turn was actually the January 15th high
It is our view the Real Deflation leg will be halted by government actions to guarantee crumbling collateral values. This will trigger Hyperinflation and the Velocity of Money. It must be remembered that Hyperinflation is primarily a Currency event.
BE PATIENT -Wait for the Death Cross
THE MID-TERM ELECTION YEAR SUPPORTS THE ABOVE OUTSIDE SMALL "M" STRENGTH
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Gordon T Long
Gordon T Long is not a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. While he believes his statements to be true, they always depend on the reliability of his own credible sources. Of course, he recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that you are encouraged to confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.
© Copyright 2013 Gordon T Long. The information herein was obtained from sources which Mr. Long believes reliable, but he does not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information, advertisements, website links, or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities. Please note that Mr. Long may already have invested or may from time to time invest in securities that are recommended or otherwise covered on this website. Mr. Long does not intend to disclose the extent of any current holdings or future transactions with respect to any particular security. You should consider this possibility before investing in any security based upon statements and information contained in any report, post, comment or suggestions you receive from him.