THESIS 2011: Beggar-Thy Neighbor -(OPEN ACCESS - 37 Pages of 217) >> GO

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JUNE 2012: GLOBAL MACRO TIPPING POINT - (Subscription Plan III)

GROSS DOMESTIC DISTORTIONS: GDP Does Not Stand for "Gross Distortional Propaganda" despite Government Actions! - The GDP presently being used to reflect Economic Growth is based on 1- A Now Flawed Economic Growth Formula, 2- Uni-Directional Inflation Gimmicks such as Hedonics, Substitution and Imputation to name only a few, 3- A Deflator that is even lower than the bogus CPI to keep GDP reporting articifically high, 4 - A Process of Government Gaming of the formula. Real Growth in the US is negative and has been for sometime. This is clear to the man on the street but something that those in the Ivory Towers can't comprehend because their misprogrammed computer screens are giving them flawed analysis.  - The "Peek Inside" shows the detailed coverage available this month.

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JUNE 2012: MONTHLY MARKET COMMENTARY (Subscription Plan II)

MISGUIDED PUBLIC POLICY: Could Irresponsible Populist Policies be Steadily Destroying the System? - If you employ a decision making process that is based on an absurdly expensive electioneering hurdle, to decide on highly complex matters, debated through the beliefs in false economic theory, with highly polarized views - is it then any wonder we get either gridlock, kick-the-can-down-the road or pork barrel politics? We have a flawed and inoperable system that is doomed to waiting for crisis events to take actions that then have little probability of success. . MORE>>

MARKET ANALYTICS & TECHNO-FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

JUNE 2012: MARKET ANALYTICS & TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - (Subscription Plan IV)

The market action since March 2009 is a bear market counter rally that has completed a classic ending diagonal pattern. The Bear Market which started in 2000 will resume in full force when the current "ROUNDED TOP" is completed. We presently are in the midst of of a "ROLLING TOP" across all Global Markets. We are seeing broad based weakening analytics and cascading warning signals. This behavior is typically seen during major tops.  This is all part of a final topping formation and a long term right shoulder technical construction pattern.  - The "Peek Inside" shows the detailed coverage available this month.

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	PART I - Understanding FINANCIAL REPRESSION
	PART II - FINANCIAL REPRESSION in Europe
	PART III - FINANCIAL REPRESSION in the US & ASIA
	PART IV - Preparations for FINANCIAL REPRESSION

Password: macro

QE III or EXTENDED OPERATION TWIST - Increasing Probability for June FOMC

Fed Doves Ready to Act 06/17/12 Gavyn Davies

1- US Economy has slowed Markedly Since early Spring

2- Core Inflation is now Hovering Around the Fed's 2% Target

3- Financial Conditions Have been Tightening as the Economy Has Slowed

GOLDMAN: QE3 Coming Next Week 06/16/12 BI

EU ROADMAP - Political & Banking Union

EXCLUSIVE - SECRET EU SUMMIT DOCUMENT shows first step to banking union 06/17/12 Telegraph

A classified draft of next week’s EU summit conclusions is the first step on an emerging “roadmap” to a:

1. Banking Union: Pooling debt via eurobonds and
2. Political Union: via EU treaty change over the next 10 years.

FRENCH ELECTIONS - Socialists Win AN Absolute Majority

French Socialists Win An Absolute Majority In Parliament 06/17/12 Zero Hedge

While everyone is focusing on Greece, we have news from France:

• FRENCH SOCIALISTS WIN ABSOLUTE MAJORITY IN PARLIAMENT, CSA SAYS
• FRENCH SOCIALISTS WON 320 SEATS, CSA SAYS; MAJORITY IS 289
• FRENCH SOCIALISTS WON'T NEED TO RELY ON LEFT FRONT, GREENS: CSA

Hollande's chief ministers, including Prime Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault, were elected in round one by scoring more than 50 percent of votes. Those in run-off contests, such as Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici, are expected to win their seats. Hollande's former partner Segolene Royal faces an uphill battle in the western city of La Rochelle against a popular dissident Socialist candidate. In all, 36 deputies were elected outright last weekend and 541 constituencies are up for grabs on Sunday.

The Socialists have been concerned that low turnout might weigh on their score. Turnout at 5 p.m. was 46.2 percent, 3 percentage points down on the 2007 election and below that of last Sunday, when the final turnout hit a new low at 57 percent.

In France, Socialists Win a Solid Majority 06/17/12 WSJ

• Because a Socialist-led coalition already controls the Senate, the upper house, Mr. Hollande will now have a supportive Parliament to back his policies.
• The Socialist Party and its allies won 314 of the National Assembly's 577 seats, according to results compiled by the French Interior Ministry. The tally shows that Mr. Hollande won't need to rely on the additional support of lawmakers from the Green and far-left Leftist Front parties.
• Mr. Hollande may have to shelve some of his costly proposals—such as hiring 12,000 civil servants a year—and instead resort to an unpopular mix of spending cuts and tax increases.
• The French president has been lobbying in favor of introducing euro bonds, a code word for jointly issued debt, to help countries such as Spain and Italy borrow at affordable cost. But Ms. Merkel has warned that any additional solidarity among Europeans would require forging a more integrated political union.
• The Franco-German debate could be heading into a stalemate because French people have shown little appetite for the idea of transferring more sovereignty to Brussels, where the European Union has its headquarters.

A PRIMER ON THE ECB

The Bang! Moment is Here 06/16/12 John Mauldin

CRONY CAPITALISM - Insideous, Controlled, Relentless and Stealth Changes

Regulators Weigh Easing of Global Bank Rules 06/15/12 WSJ

International regulators are poised to ease a core element of new banking rules that were designed to improve the safety of the financial system, with some regulators fearing that plowing ahead with the tougher requirements could exacerbate the current European crisis . Among the planned changes, one would allow a wider variety of assets—such as gold and equities—to count toward banks' liquidity buffers, according to people involved in the talks.

a growing number of central bankers and regulators have come to accept industry arguments that in the current environment, it will be nearly impossible for banks to comply with the liquidity rules. Further, they say, forcing them to try could precipitate dangerous cash crunches at some institutions.

The changes are likely to be welcomed by the banking industry and some policy makers. But some outside experts say it could be a mistake to loosen the rules. The rule in question is known as the "liquidity coverage ratio." It will force banks to hold large enough quantities of certain assets, such as cash and government bonds, that would enable banks to weather a theoretical 30-day liquidity crisis. The idea is that some assets are sufficiently liquid that, even in the heat of a crisis, banks will be able to sell them on the market to drum up cash. The rule is supposed to take effect in 2015.

Slobbering Senators Woo Dimon While They Gut Dodd-Frank 06/17/12 Bloomberg

Neither Dodd-Frank nor the Volcker Rule nor bank-capital requirements nor the other regulations that will ultimately get written -- with a lot of help from Wall Street’s lawyers and lobbyists -- will change the behavior of the hundreds of thousands of bankers, traders and executives who work on Wall Street and who do the things every hour of every day that slowly but surely have had a tendency to lead to the collective action that cause financial crises. People are pretty simple: They do what they are rewarded to do. At this very moment on Wall Street, smart, well-educated people are being rewarded to take big risks with other people’s money. Because that’s what they get paid to do -- often in the millions of dollars each year -- it is hardly surprising that they continue to do it. Need some evidence? President Barack Obama signed the 2,300-page Dodd-Frank law nearly two years ago, in July 2010. At the time, with great bravado, he said, “These reforms represent the strongest consumer financial protections in history. In history.”