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"

Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Says

U.S. Preparing Bank Bailins

"The Great Recession is a near-worldwide phenomenon, with the consequences of which many advanced economies continue to struggle. Its depth and breadth appear to have changed the economic environment in many ways and to have left the road ahead unclear .. Work on the use of the resolution mechanisms set out in the Dodd-Frank Act, based on the principle of a single point of entry–though less advanced than the work on capital and liquidity ratios–holds the promise of making it possible to resolve banks in difficulty at no direct cost to the government .. As part of this approach, the United States is preparing a proposal to require systemically important banks to issue bail-inable long-term debt that will enable insolvent banks to recapitalize themselves in resolution without calling on government funding–this cushion is known as a 'gone concern' buffer."

- Federal Reserve Vice Chair Stanley Fischer


LINK HERE to the article

   

 

 

"

Renunciation of U.S. Citizenship

About To Get More Expensive:

From $450 to $2350

America's Corralito Tightens

With an exponentially increasing number of Americans & U.S.-based companies renouncing their citizenship, the U.S. State Department is now looking to raise the cost of renunciation from U.S.$450 to U.S.$2350on individuals .. [Cliff Note: Expect similar regulations or rule changes soon to keep U.S. corporations from renouncing their citizenship through overseas corporate inversions, like what Burger King is doing now .. America's corralito tightens .. ]

LINK HERE to the article

   

 

FINANCIAL REPRESSION IS

COMPLETELY DISTORTING

THE PRICING OF BOND RISK

(The RISK is in FIAT US$ CURRENCY)

"

 

For the first time in history,

(based on FRED data),

the 30Y constant maturity yield is below the real GDP growth level.

Click to Enlarge

 

   

 

 

"

WHAT WEALTH CONFISCATION

MAY LOOK LIKE FOR AMERICANS

"Would the U.S. government really turn to a 1933-style gold grab again? .. I would argue that they wouldn’t, but that doesn’t mean the threat to your gold has diminished .. If the government is looking to confiscate wealth, they’ll likely go for the low-hanging fruit like financial accounts, which can be plundered with a few mouse clicks. Or they’ll continue to ramp up the inflationary money printing, which is a way to confiscate from savers .. If and when an executive order is issued to convert a portion of your retirement savings into unwanted Treasury securities, it will likely apply only to the most susceptible retirement assets — those being accounts with the large, traditional IRA custodians. These assets are soft targets for the government. They could be frozen, confiscated, or nationalized at the flip of a switch."

 

- Nick Giambruno, Senior Editor InternationalMan


LINK HERE to the article

   

 

.. the article emphasizes the approach of financial repression taken by the U.S. & UK in keeping interest rates down & allowing inflation to rise in order to pay off some government debt via inflation, rather than by defaulting or cutting back spending

.. most western world governments are in this bind, so that "we could see interest rates staying lower than markets expect for some time. And in the longer run, we could see a lot more inflation than we’ve been used to as well"

"

FINANCIAL REPRESSION REQUIRED

TO PAY GOVERNMENT DEBTS

& UNFUNDED OBLIGATIONS

MONEYWEEK.COM article points out the worse things get on the European financial/economic crisis, the more pressure there is on the European Central Bank (ECB) to print money

- stocks will likely go up as this happens on the anticipation that the ECB will given in & start money printing

.. "TheECB would print money and use it to buy eurozone government bonds, in order to prop up the region’s banking sector, and to encourage more risk-taking by lenders and investors. Of course, any hint of more money-printing always cheers the market, and European stocks reacted well to the news."

.. the article points to how U.S. & UK stocks have similarly reacted positively on all the money printing

.. whether all this money is good for the economy or whether it even benefits the economy in any positive way is another question

.. in terms of investing, the article suggests sticking with countries that are looking to do more money printing & that have relatively inexpensive stock markets, such as Europe or Japan


LINK HERE to the article

   

 

"In most countries, it’s extremely unlikely that the government will outright seize pensions. In America, it’s nearly impossible to change Social Security or Medicare benefits, and the idea of the U.S. government confiscating everyone’s 401(k) is unimaginable to all but the most ardent conspiracy theorists.

However, it’s not unrealistic to think that the American government could take a bigger bite out of individuals’ 401(k) assets with higher tax rates: Income taxes are at historic lows, and if the American government needs to raise revenue in the future, taxes on 401(k) withdrawals may be higher (along with taxes on everything else).

"

Emerging Pattern of Wealth Confiscation

- Russia Confiscates Private Retirement Savings -

Businessweek reports that earlier this month, the Russian government seized its citizens’ pension contributions - 6% of Russians’ salaries is invested in financial markets, earmarked for their retirement, but this year that $8 billion in contributions will finance Russian spending instead .. "Russia is not the first country to confiscate pension assets to pay its bills, and it probably won’t be the last .. For governments facing financial pressure, billions of dollars of pension assets proved too tempting to resist." .. Argentina recently “nationalized” $30 billion of pension assets & Hungary, Poland, Portugal, & Bulgaria have done the same ..


LINK HERE to the article

 

 

"

Emerging Pattern of Wealth Confiscation

- Is Portugal Next?

Casey Research's Nick Giambruno sees an emerging pattern of wealth confiscation globally, identifies Portugal as a likely next country candidate in this regard .. "It starts out with government officials telling you everything is all right—when clearly everything is not all right." .. here is a summary of the pattern:

1. COUNTRY GETS INTO SERIOUS FINANCIAL TROUBLE

2. OFFICIAL GOVERNMENT DENIALS

3. SURPRISE BANK HOLIDAY/CAPITAL CONTROLS

4. CONFISCATION

Portugal is clearly at the first stage in the pattern—serious financial trouble .. recommends taking your money out of Portuguese banks while you can .. "When it comes to protecting yourself from confiscations, capital controls, bank holidays, and other desperate measures of an out-of-control government, it’s absolutely essential to take action before it’s too late .. While the window is still open for those in the U.S. to protect themselves, the warning signs are clearly there. And the writing is on the wall." .. another example of financial repression.

link here to the article

   

 

 

 

 

"

 

A New Confiscation To Worry About?

"'Since the financial crisis, the world's central banks have collectively put more than $10 trillion into the financial system. This kind of money printing is literally unheard of in modern history. And it has set the stage for a roaring wave of inflation.' -- Graham Summers, analyst .. With the world in a deflationary recession, I now doubt we'll see new highs in the D-J Averages. But with enough QE, it might be possible .. With deflation enveloping the world, investors have been racing to buy Treasury bonds, whose yields have sunk to record lows. My survival choice in investments continues to be silver and gold .. Today it finally happened: I received an advertisement from a firm featuring a scare I've been waiting for. There are two ways for the government to handle its outrageous debts. The first is reneging, as per Argentina, but this is unthinkable. The second way is via inflation -- inflate enough and your debts appear to shrink. Ah, but there's a third way, and it's confiscation of wealth. Don't think this is impossible, because governments will do whatever they have to to remain in power. How about confiscating all individual wealth above $200,000, for which the government will give you stubs which will say IOU. This will be a switch on the 1933 confiscation of gold. This time it may be confiscation of cash. Finally, something new to worry about." .. it's default or financial repression, take your pick.

- Richard Russell*

link here to the article

   

 

Small Business has historically been the life blood of America.

It no longer is for a consolidated banking industry.

 

THE BANKING INDUSTRY

IS NO LONGER EFFECTIVELY

SERVING AMERICA!

 

"

FINANCIAL REPRESSION INCENTS BANKS INTO

  • WHOLESALE SECURITIZATION OF LOANS
  • REPO COLLATERAL ACTIVITES OF THE SHADOW BANKING INDUSTRY

NOT THE RETAILING OPERATIONS OF MAKING (EXPENSIVE) SMALL BUSINESS LOANS!

   

 

FINANCIAL REPRESSION IS ABOUT REGULATIONS

FORCING BEHAVIOUR

versus

REWARDING BEHAVIOUR

 

"

PRIOR TO FINANCIAL REPRESSION IN AMERICA

 

Government Policy was about:

"positively incenting & directing actions"

 

Government Policy is now about:

"negatively forcing & impeading actions"

 

READ: Treasury Officials Prepare Options to Address Inversions 08-19-14 WSJ

Treasury Department officials are assembling a list of administrative options for Secretary Jacob Lew to consider for ways to deter or prevent U.S. companies from reorganizing overseas primarily to avoid paying federal taxes

Some Democrats in Congress believe lawmakers should pass a stopgap measure to deter companies from pursuing the deals, while some Republicans have said the only way to stop inversions is through an overhaul of the tax code.

others believe the White House has ample flexibility to step in and have raised different ideas for administrative actions, including

  1. steps to address earnings stripping,
  2. the taxation of interest and
  3. the treatment of debt and equity
THIS IS WHY IT IS CALLED REPRESSIVE
   

 

 

 

 

UNDERSTAND

"SHORTING" & "PUT DERIVATIVES"

to know how

THE GREATEST WEALTH TRANSFER IN HISTORY

IS BEING SET-UP TO EVENTUALLY BE EXECUTED

"

BEFORE Financial Repression

BONDS were "for Widows, Orphans and Pensioners"

For those who couldn't and SHOULDN'T take risk

Now the government is forcing Public Pensions into Stocks

Some 50% of all US pension fund assets are invested in stocks and only 20% in Treasurys

Click to Enlarge

A MARKET CORRECTION WILL DESTROY WORKER PENSIONS & ENSLAVE MILLIONS

A third of people have nothing saved for retirement USAT

"There is no FREEDOM without NOISE -

and no STABILITY without VOLATILITY."

 

 

 

 

 

"

Indebted Governments Will Resort To Capital Controls

Daily Reckoning commentary on how indebted, western-world governments will likely begin instituting draconian controls & regulations on restricting the movement of money, all with the goal of keeping itself alive & not going into default on its debt while at the same time maintaining a relatively strong currency

.. "The U.S. government, along with other Western countries and innumerable banking institutions, is starting to make it very difficult for regular citizens — you, me and the nice lady next door — to move money 

.. In essence, capital controls enable governments to limit the flow of money coming in and out of their country in the hopes of manufacturing conditions that protect the value of their currency. As we reach a fiscal tipping point, we could very well see our government revert to making use of capital controls."

.. it's another example of financial repression. 

READ: 4 Ways the Government Is Set to Take Your Money

 

 

 

 

"

"When a Government Doesn't Own its Own Currency this Eventually Happens "

Its Called FINANCIAL REPRESSION

When an Unelected, Private Institution (The Federal Reserve), Owned by the Banks, Controls the Money Supply & Interest Rates this occurs

"Permit me to issue the money of a nation, and I care not who makes it laws"

Mayer Amschel Rothchild, Banker 1790

 

 

CENTRAL PLANNING & CONTROL

A EURO BOND IS COMING

&

THE UNIVERSAL TAXATION TO SUPPORT

ITS DEBT

When Dead Beat Peripherals Can no Longer Pay there is only one solution.

Tax The Entire Union


"

ECB TAKES ON INCREASED POWERS

THE " SUPERVISON FRAMEWORK"

READ MORE

Bloomberg Brief Reports:

   

 

FINANCIAL REPRESSION

Accelerated the Decline of America

 

AMERICA Now A Two Class Society

"Haves & Have Nots"

& Maybe More Concerning

A Culture of

"SOCIAL DEPENDENCY"


"

FINANCIAL REPRESSION

SAVED THE BANKS

BUT DEYSTROYED THE US MIDDLE CLASS

 

 

CENTRAL PLANNING & CONTROL

Moving towards Control of YOUR Pensions

through Control of Insurance Industry

Fed gives preview of future non-bank scrutiny 08-11-14 FT


"

Federal Reserve & Congress Talk

"ENHANCED PRUDENTIAL STANDARDS"

READ MORE

Other non-banks to face 'designation' as "systemic risks to the financial system"

The Fed has insisted that the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill forced it to apply bank capital standards to non-banks. In response, the Senate recently passed a bill that would give the Fed the room to apply capital standards that are tailored for the insurance industry

  • Life insurer MetLife is waiting to see if it will be designated this year, while its smaller rival

  • Prudential Financial was deemed a systemic risk last September.

  • LARGEST ASSET MANAGERS: On July 31, FSOC decided for now to lift the threat of systemic risk designations for the largest asset managers, but said it would focus on the industry’s products and activities.

  • PRIVATE EQUITY & HEDGE FUNDS: The review of asset managers came after an FSOC-commissioned report on the industry, which also said it was reviewing private equity and hedge funds, prompting predictions that those sectors could be next on the council’s agenda.

     

LATEST MACRO ANALYTICS ON FINANCIAL REPRESSION

 

LATEST UnderTheLens UPDATE ANALYSIS ON FINANCIAL REPRESSION

.

FINANCIAL REPRESSION TIMELINE - LONGER TERM

FINANCIAL REPRESSION TIMELINE - NEAR TERM

2014

2015

Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
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^
^
^
^
^
     
BAIL-INS-EU
YELLEN / FISHER ON RECORD
BAIL-INS-US
     
   
^
 
^
     
           

** Current Details Below

CURRENT FINANCIAL REPRESSION INITIATIVES

MONEY MARKET FUND GATES (SEC REGULATIONS)
  • “Redemption Gates” for Money Market Funds Acting Man -- ""The adoption of 'redemption gates' effectively means that money market fund boards will be able to suspend the property rights of their customers. Once again, this creates a big disadvantage for the money market fund industry in favor of banks, since demand deposits will continue to lack such 'redemption gates', in spite of the fact that banks are de facto unable to actually pay out all demand deposits, or even a large portion of them, 'on demand'. It is an interesting detail that retail customers are to be exempt from this regulation based on the idea that they are basically too addled to react to crisis conditions. Why are such regulations held to be required at all? Are regulators implying that the system has not been 'made safe' by adopting several telephone book-sized tomes of additional regulations?""
  • SEC Votes Through Money Market Exit Gates Zero Hedge -- the SEC has adopted the news rules designed to curb the risk of money market investor runs .. "Among the changes, funds will have to switch to a floating share price instead of the current $1/share (hence the term breaking the buck). But the key part: 'The SEC's rule will require prime money market funds to move from a stable $1 per share net asset value, to a floating NAV. It also will let fund boards lower redemption 'gates' and fees in times of market stress." .. suggests this may send money market investor rushing out & into other asset classes - the SEC, the Federal Reserve & the U.S. Treasury hope that asset class is stocks to keep the stock market rising .. "Clearly, everyone understand that the only purpose behind implementing 'gates' is to redirect the herd. And with some $2.6 trillion in assets, money markets can serve as a convenient source of 'forced buying' now that QE is tapering if only for the time being. The only question is whether the herd will agree to this latest massive behavioral experiment by the Fed, and allocate their funds to a stock market which is now trading at a higher P/E multiple than during the last market peak."
  • U.S. SEC poised to adopt reforms for money market funds Reuters
  • Fund managers on alert over money market shake-up FT -The SEC is looking to drive money market funds to only government securities, especially institutional money market funds - this means money market funds will be helping to pay for the government debt ..  The SEC is also planning to allow fees and restrictions on redemptions in times of stress, but it is not clear how widely these will be applied across the money markets - FT: "Any restrictions on redemptions may not be severe at first, but the regulations will only become more restrictive over time. Don't waste time thinking you are going to monitor the situation and get out later. Get out now, when the getting is easy."

 

Do you know the difference between a money market fund and a money market account? CNBC Personal Finance Reporter Sharon Epperson explains the big difference

BAIL-IN (GLOBAL - G20 LEGISLATION)

  • Australia: 'Bail in' Rules May Be Inevitable In Australia - August 22, 2021 Bail in' rules may be inevitable, says David Murray of the Financial Systems Inquiry Chair in Australia .. "It appears there’s a wide consensus that bail-in would considerably expand the buffer, would further assist in the mechanisms for the protection of depositors, and importantly would create a system where it is less likely that the government would be dragged into a crisis." .. Australia may have little choice but to adopt “bail-in” rules that expose bank creditors to losses, due to our dependence on foreign capital .. more financial repression.
  • Canada: Department Of Finance Releases Proposal For Canadian Bail-In Regime Canada's government is looking to implement a bail-in regime to limit exposure to a government bailout - the idea is for troubled banks to shaft bank depositors of their bank deposits first .. "The G-20, including Canada, endorsed the Financial Stability Board's Key Attributes of Effective Resolution Regimes for Financial Institutions in 2011, a set of best practices for the resolution of financial institutions which contemplates the establishment of a bail-in regime."

PENSION CONTROLS

CAPITAL CONTROLS (CASEY RESEARCH ON COMING CAPITAL CONTROLS)

 

 

POLICY CONTROLS (Monetary, Fiscal, Public & Tax Policy)

  • Monetary Policy & Financial Repression in Britain, 1951 - 59 New book coming out by William Allen on Monetary Policy and Financial Repression in Britain, 1951 - 59 .. this book explores the politics of formulating monetary policy in the 1950s, the tools implementing it & discusses the parallels between the present monetary policy & that of 1951 .. "Drawing on official archives, this study describes how monetary policy was decided on, implemented and communicated at a time when the government was struggling with massive post-war debts while maintaining welfare and military spending and cutting taxes. It discusses the roles of the Governor of the Bank of England, Cameron Cobbold, and of successive Chancellors R.A. Butler, Harold Macmillan, Peter Thorneycroft and Derick Heathcoat Amory, and Macmillan's continued dominance of monetary policy after he became Prime Minister. It explains the intimate relationships between monetary policy, government debt management and fiscal policy, and the use of 'financial repression'."
  • Low Interest Rates & Inflation To Address Financial Repression Article points out the worse things get on the European financial/economic crisis, the more pressure there is on the European Central Bank (ECB) to print money - stocks will likely go up as this happens on the anticipation that the ECB will given in & start money printing .. "The ECB would print money and use it to buy eurozone government bonds, in order to prop up the region’s banking sector, and to encourage more risk-taking by lenders and investors. Of course, any hint of more money-printing always cheers the market, and European stocks reacted well to the news." .. the article points to how U.S. & UK stocks have similarly reacted positively on all the money printing .. whether all this money is good for the economy or whether it even benefits the economy in any positive way is another question .. the article emphasizes the approach of financial repression taken by the U.S. & UK in keeping interest rates down & allowing inflation to rise in order to pay off some government debt via inflation, rather than by defaulting or cutting back spending .. most western world governments are in this bind, so that "we could see interest rates staying lower than markets expect for some time. And in the longer run, we could see a lot more inflation than we’ve been used to as well" .. in terms of investing, the article suggests sticking with countries that are looking to do more money printing & that have relatively inexpensive stock markets, such as Europe or Japan.
  • This Is Going To Destabilize The Entire World Financial System Ronald-Peter Stoferle, Incrementum AG "Bond prices in practically all industrialized nations are near all-time highs. Never before have interest rates been this low on a global basis. If one examines these events more closely, it becomes clear that the underlying problems cannot be solved by global zero interest rate policy, but that the natural selection process of the market is instead being undermined .. Interest rates are the heart, soul and life of the free enterprise system .. This truth is however veiled and distorted at the moment. Governments, financial institutions, entrepreneurs and consumers that are acting in an uneconomic manner are thus kept artificially afloat. As a result, instead of them being punished for their errors, these errors are perpetuated. Protraction of this process of selection leads to a structural weakening of the economy, and a concomitant increase in the system's fragility .. Declining interest rate levels make a gradual increase in public indebtedness possible, while the interest burden (as a share of government spending) does not grow .. Without negative real interest rates, the steadily growing mountains of debt would long ago have ceased to be sustainable. Central banks are increasingly prisoners of the policy of over-indebtedness .. Central banks and governments are currently trying to create an increase in prosperity out of nothing. Such a monetary perpetuum mobile would be quite desirable for humankind, however, historically such attempts have at best led to a brief sugar high followed by a major hangover.
  • Alasdair Macleod On The Markets: Keep Calm & Carry On "Investment is now all about the trend and little else. You never have to value anything properly any more: just measure confidence. This approach to investing resonates with post-Keynesian economics and government planning. The expectations of the crowd, or its animal spirits, are now there to be managed. No longer is there the seemingly irrational behaviour of unfettered markets dominated by independent thinkers. Forward guidance is just the latest manifestation of this policy. It represents the triumph of economic management over the markets .. Doubtless there is a growing band of central bankers who believe that with this control they have finally discovered Keynes’s Holy Grail: the euthanasia of the rentier and his replacement by the state as the primary source of business capital. This being the case, last month’s dip in the markets will turn out to be just that, because intervention will simply continue and if necessary be ramped up .. But in the process, all market risk is being transferred from bonds, equities and all other financial assets into currencies themselves; and it is the outcome of their purchasing power that will prove to be the final judgement in the debate of markets versus economic planning."
  • The Fed's Financial Repression At Work: How Big Blue Was Turned Into A Wall Street Slush Fund David Stockman -- "IBM is a poster child for the ill-effects of the Fed’s financial repression. In effect, the Fed’s zero interest rate policies are telling big companies to issue truckloads of debt and use the proceeds to buyback shares hand-over-fist. That way fast money speculators on Wall Street are appeased by the resulting share price lift, and top executives collect bigger winnings on their stock options."
  • BoJ To Engage In 'Financial Repression'; We Stay Long USD/JPY - BNPP 07-11-14 eFX News "Japan now has one of the highest inflation rates in the G10. Our economists expect the BoJ to engage in ‘financial repression’ to restrain the rise in JGB yields that results from Japan’s fiscal dynamics," BNPP says as a rationale behind this view. "A larger overshoot in Japan’s inflation rate would also see the yen weaken. If inflation gets out of hand, we could, our economists suggest, see an ‘operation twist’ policy in Japan – similar to that witnessed in the US. This would entail aggressive purchases of JGBs coupled with interest rate hikes to stave off inflation. The resultant inversion in the yield curve, along with the upside shock to inflation, is a risk scenario for Japan and the ensuing adverse growth-inflation paradigm would necessarily entail a weaker yen," BNPP argues. "In addition, a re-allocation in the government pension investment fund (GPIF) and a likely pick-up in Japanese outflows will mean JPY weakens," BNPP adds.
  • MyRA
    MyRA - More About Getting Votes Than Helping Middle Class
    The Three Stooges Debunk myRA - Zero Hedge
    The MyRA Propaganda Begins A Start To A Secure Retirement Promises Treasury Secretary
    .
    .
    Obama To Unveil Treasury IRAs, Or Planning For A Post-Monetization World
    The Next Shoe To Drop On Your Retirement Account
    Default, Deflation and Financial Repression
    ECB Seriously Considering Negative Interest Rates; New Central Bank Mottos
    First It Was Bail-Ins And Now EU Sees “Personal Pension Savings” As “Plug” For Banks
    Furious Backlash Forces HSBC To Scrap Large Cash Withdrawal Limit
    .
    .
    We Are From The Government And We Are Here To Offer You A No Risk, Guaranteed Return Investment Product
    .
    Theft Is Deflationary - Especially The Crony-CapitalistState Kind
    When Saving Interest Rates Go Negative

REGULATORY CONTROLS & ENFORCEMENT

  • U.S. Pushing Banks On Dodd-Frank Act To Make It Easier For Government To FREEZE YOUR MONEY - Financial Repression Via Regulations "The U.S. wants big banks to simplify their Dodd-Frank Act resolution plans so it's easier for government to freeze your money." .. Bloomberg reports on the progress made by Wall Street banks developing their "living wills" as part of the Dodd-Frank Act legislation attempting to minimize "too big to fail" banks .. Bloomberg: "The Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. told 11 of the largest U.S. and foreign banks, including JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS), that they botched their so-called living wills. The agencies ordered the banks to simplify their legal structures and revise some practices to make sure they can collapse without damaging the wider financial system." Jim Rickards:
  • Fischer worries about macroprudential policy- 07-10-14 FT Mr Fischer’s most interesting remarks relate to his experience with macroprudential policy in Israel. Israel’s bank supervisor used a range of tools to restrict mortgage lending and try to avert a housing bubble. Mr Fischer draws three lessons:
  • Basel Accord II and III - 05-16-14 Cliff Küle

PUBLIC & PRIVATE PRESSURES & PENALTIES

Placing the Government Debt on the back off Savers & Pensioners

(ie the 75M Baby Boomers About to Retire)

REPORTING DISTORTIONS (Economic & Gov't Statistics)

CAPITAL & FOREIGN EXCHANGE CONTROLS

POLITICAL SUASION (Political Pressures & Quid Pro Quo)

EXPROPRIATION

 

OUR THESIS PAPER

ABSTRACT

Through the Process of Abstraction the 2012 Thesis outlines how the Global Macro is presently on a well defined path towards a global Fiat Currency Failure and the emergence of a New World Order.

2012 will be highlighted by social unrest during a period of heightened conflict and tension. As economic growth declines and chronic unemployment becomes even more broad based on the world stage, Macro Prudential Policies of Financial Repression will accelerate.

Increasing centralized planning and control by sovereign government will further push advanced societies towards collectism and statism.

ABSTRACTION

TABLE OF CONTENT - (To Assist in your Sectional Download Choices Below the Table)

LATEST LONG Wave TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ON FINANCIAL REPRESSION

Coming in July

STRATEGIC MACRO INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Jim's recommended "Death of Money" portfolio is:
 
20% Gold
20% Land
10% Fine Art
20% Alternative Funds
30% Cash

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TERMS OF USE

Gordon T Long is not a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. Of course, he recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that, we encourage you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.

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Financial Repression describes an economic policy in which capital controls and regulations are implemented by governments and central banks, the aim of which is to reduce public debt burdens through the distortion of financial market pricing.
"When things get bad enough, governments will do anything." – Jim Rickards
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HOW IT HAPPENS

"People ask if we'll have a 'bail-in' in the United States .. Given ATM limits, foreign wire limits and Federal Reserve exit fees on bond funds, I'd say it's already here." - Jim Rickards

1- Negative Real Rates
2- Disruption of Price Discovery
3- Mispricing of Risk
4- Sustained Financial Distortions
5- Restrictive Financial Choices
6-Confiscation of Wealth Through Inflation
Financial Repression always means a combination of measures that lead to a notable narrowing of the investment universe for investors. Money is thus channeled into specific directions to create a ‘home bias.
TOOLS USED

The next bailout will be the U.S. government. They will seize all pension funds and 401Ks to absorb the debt. They are realizing that as the war cycle turns up, less and less foreigners will buy U.S. debt ... The solution – forced loans." - Martin Armstrong

1- Monetary Policy
2- Distortions - Statistics, Reporting
3- Fiscal Policy - Budget Deficits
4- Moral Suasion - Political Pressures
5- Taxation - ROE, ROI
6-Regulators - Financial Requirements & Enforcement
7- Stealth Credit Spreads
8- Capital Account & Financial Excahnge Controls
PILLARS OF FINANCIAL REPRESSION

"We’re going to take your pension plan and give you government bonds so that you have a guaranteed return .. That’s how they’ll rationalize taking our money. They know where all the pension plans are because we have to report it, so they’re easily accessible by governments. They know where they are, what they are, and they’ll be able to snatch them away. Who knows what they’ll do, but they’ll certainly find some way to take our money when things get worse, they always have." – Jim Rogers

1- Strict investment regulations (Solvency II, Basel III)
2- Negative real interest rates g
3- Interest rate ceilings s
4- Open credit dirigisme
5- Nationalizations
6-Regulation of cross-border capital movementst
7- Prohibition of unwanted trading practices such as naked short selling
8- Compulsory loans
9- Prohibition of certain investment assets (e.g. gold)
10- Special taxes (e.g. securities taxes, financial transaction taxes, wealth taxes, higher value added tax on silver, import duties on gold etc.)
11- Direct interventions, such as government intervention in pension funds (Portugal, Ireland, France, Hungary) and subsequent redeployment of investments in favor of government bonds.
12-Growing discrepancy between financing costs of private sector participants versus governments.

13- Haircuts on deposits (e.g. Cyprus)

OUR COMMENTARY

"This manipulation of the yield on government debt is the answer for the government, and socially, it is so much more acceptable than the alternatives. Whatever you think of the history of hyperinflation, austerity, default and deflation, they are socially incredibly disruptive, incredibly socially dangerous, and many of those market-driven events have led to warfare or massive domestic social unrest. I think in the grand scheme of things when the government sits down and decides which avenue to pursue, this avenue of repression .. will always be more socially acceptable than the market-driven events of austerity, hyperinflation, deflation, devaluation." - Russell Napier, CLSA

THE BUYBACK TAX RUSE Its a Free Tax Ride for Corporations - 07 July 2021

Financial Repression Goes Global - 05 June 2021

INTERVIEWS

From the U.S. standpoint, it’s now a case of 'inflate or die,' and much of the world knows this. Thus if the U.S. decides not to default on its massive debts, it will have to resort to hyperinflation. If this happens, the U.S. will single-handedly tear the world monetary system apart. What worries me is that governments will do whatever they have to in order to remain in power. This can result in confiscation of the assets of U.S. citizens .. America's massive debts will ultimately upset the world’s monetary system." - Richard Russell

PRESENTATIONS

 

GRAPHICS

"There will be future bail-ins [loss of deposits] and other types of confiscation of wealth in the eurozone, without a doubt .. There's no other realistic way forward if politicians continue to fail to deal with the basic indebtedness problem across Europe." - Lars Christensen, the Head of Saxo Bank

Click Graphics to Enlarge

VIDEO LIBRARY

“By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some. The sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not only at security, but at confidence in the equity of the existing distribution of wealth.. “..There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose.”-John Maynard Keynes

 

 

 

PODCASTS
EDUCATIONAL AIDS

The term ‘Financial Repression’ was first employed by McKinnon and Shaw in 1973 and has been rediscovered in the course of the current crisis by Reinhart and Sbrancia in their paper “The Liquidation of Government Debt.”

Federal Reserve Must Print Money To Keep Interest Rates Low - Cliff Küle 05 June 2021

Financial Repression To Accelerate With Increased Desperation - KWN 24 March 2021

Monetary Policy Under Financial Repression: China's Long-Term Outlook Financial Sense 20 Dec 2021