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The Financial Repression Authority

MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICY ADVISORS

"Financial repression is not a conspiracy theory, it is rather a collective set of macroprudential policies focused on controlling and reducing excessive government debt through 4 pillars - negative interest rates, inflation, ring-fencing regulations and obfuscation - to effectively transfer purchasing power from private savings." - The Financial Repression Authority

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Dear Reader, 
Please find below our posts from this week. We hope you find them insightful and informative. Check out our many interviews with key industry analysts, economists and fund managers - click on LINK to our Interviews.

 

LINK HERE to our Interviews

How can I Protect from Financial Repression?

 

Last Update:  Wednesday 5/13/15 2:14 PM

   

 

 

Allianz Global Chief Investment Officer

Andreas Utermann

on Financial Repression

Allianz Global Investors (Allianz GI) using the following strategies to address investing in the era of financial repression: equity long/short, merger arbitrage, options trading, commodities, volatility, global macro, absolute return bonds, private debt, infrastructure debt & infrastructure equity .. Global Chief Investment Officer & Co-Head at Allianz GI Andreas Utermann: "In an environment of financial repression, characterised by much lower future expected returns from the beta element of all asset classes, these strategies can help investors capture alpha."

LINK HERE to the Article

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The War on Cash -

What You Can Do Now

Mark Nestmann essay focuses on the war on cash, offers helpful suggestions to investors & savers .. Here is Nestmann's advice:
1. draw down bank reserves & accumulate cash - document the withdrawals to prove the legal origin of the cash in the future
2. make sure you get newly issued bills because more than 95% of circulating bills are tainted with drug residues which under U.S. law allows the cash to be confiscated
3. convert a portion of assets in banks or in cash to gold - store it outside of the banking system
4. keep the assets you maintain in banks which are strong to avoid the coming bail-ins
5. consider putting some assets into electronic-based currencies [like Bitcoin, BitGold etc.]

LINK HERE to the Article

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Financial Repression:

The War on Cash

International Man's Nick Giambruno & Mises' Joe Salerno .. the financial repression of ring-fencing regulations is intensifying in the war on physical cash .. the goal to eliminate the use of hand-to-hand currency, so that governments can document & control every transaction .. one way this war is being fought is by making it illegal to pay in cash above a certain threshold:

* Italy made cash transactions over €1,000 illegal;
* Switzerland has proposed banning cash payments in excess of 100,000 francs;
* Russia banned cash transactions over $10,000;
* Spain banned cash transactions over €2,500;
* Mexico made cash payments of more than 200,000 pesos illegal;
* Uruguay banned cash transactions over $5,000; and
* France made cash transactions over €1,000 illegal, down from the previous limit of €3,000.

Joe Salerno: The War on Cash is the attempt by governments to phase cash out of their economies. Governments hate cash because they hate the financial privacy cash makes possible. And they prefer that you keep your money in a bank to help prop up an unsound fractional reserve banking system .. The War on Cash reflects the desperation of governments .. it really says that they are bankrupt, both literally, in the sense that they can’t pay what they’ve promised, and intellectually.

LINK HERE to the Article

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IMF Paper on "Capital Flow Management":

Financial Repression - Capital Controls

Jim Rickards* refers to the IMF's plan on "capital flow management" as really about capital controls - both mean "We Keep Your Money" he says .. this is an IMF paper: "The global financial crisis underscored the costs of systemic instability at both the national and global levels and highlighted the importance of dedicated macroprudential and capital flow management policies. The IMF has been assisting its members with policy advice as well as developing and making operational their policy frameworks. Multilateral aspects of both policies need to be fully considered, including the interaction with other domestic and international legal frameworks. To the extent that capital flows are the source of systemic financial sector risks, the tools used to address those risks can be seen as both capital flow management measures (CFMs) and macroprudential measures (MPMs)."

LINK HERE to the Article

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Its Happening Everywhere there are Financial Problems - Nowhere Else?

The central banks are ... planning drastic restrictions on cash itself. They see moving to electronic money will:

  1. Eliminate the underground economy,
  2. Prevent a banking crisis.

FRANCE

France passed another Draconian new law that from the police parissummer of 2015 it will now impose cash requirements dramatically trying to eliminate cash by force.

French citizens and tourists will then only be allowed a limited amount of physical money. They have financial police searching people on trains just passing through France to see if they are transporting cash, which they will now seize.

Meanwhile, the new French Elite are moving in this very same direction. Piketty wants to just take everyone’s money who has more than he does. Nobody stands on the side of freedom or on restraining the corruption within government. The problem always turns against the people for we are the cause of the fiscal mismanagement of government that never has enough for themselves.

GREECE

In Greece a drastic reduction in cash is also being discussed in light of the economic crisis. Now any bill over €70 should be payable only by check or credit card – it will be illegal to pay in cash. The German Baader Bank founded in Munich expects formally to abolish the cash to enforce negative interest rates on accounts that is really taxation on whatever money you still have left after taxes.

EUROPE

There is a growing assumption that the negative interest rate world (tax on cash) is likely to increase dramatically in Europe in particular since it is socialism that is collapsing. Government in Brussels is unlikely to yield power and their line of thinking cannot lead to any solution. The negative interest rate concept is making its way into the United States at J.P. Morgan where they will charge a fee on excess cash on deposit starting May 1st, 2015. Asset holdings of cash with a tax or a fee in the amount of the negative interest rate seems to be underway even in Switzerland.

People can’t pull cash out of their bank accounts – for political reasons, because they’ve lost confidence in the bank, or because “bail-ins” are enacted – if cash is banned.

The Financial Times argued last year that central banks would be the real winners from a cashless society:

Central bankers, after all, have had an explicit interest in introducing e-money from the moment the global financial crisis began…

The introduction of a cashless society empowers central banks greatly. A cashless society, after all, not only makes things like negative interest rates possible, it transfers absolute control of the money supply to the central bank, mostly by turning it into a universal banker that competes directly with private banks for public deposits. All digital deposits become base money.

 

"WAR ON CASH"

is a Strategic Requirement to

IMPLEMENTING SUSTAINED NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES

We Can’t Rein In the Banks If We Can’t Pull Our Money Out of Them

1- Physical paper money provides the check against negative interest rates, for if they become too great, people will simply withdraw their funds and hoard cash.

2- Furthermore, paper currency allows for bank runs. Eliminate paper currency and what you end up with is the elimination of the ability to demand to withdraw funds from a bank.

Complete abolition of cash threatens our very freedom and rights of citizens in so many areas.

THE BARRIER TO SUSTAINED NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES

Paper currency is indeed the check against negative interest rates. We need only look to Switzerland to prove that theory. Any attempt to impose say a 5% negative interest rates (tax) would lead to an unimaginably massive flight into cash. This was already demonstrated recently by the example of Swiss pension funds, which withdrew their money from the bank in a big way and now store it in vaults in cash in order to escape the financial repression. People will act in their own self-interest and negative interest rates are likely to reduce the sales of government bonds and set off a bank run as long as paper money exists.

For depositors, this means they really need to grasp what is going on here for unless they are vigilant, there is a serious risk of losing everything. We must understand that these measures will be implemented overnight in the middle of a banking crisis after 2015.75. The balloons have taken off and the discussions are underway. The trend in taxation and reduction of cash seems to be unstoppable. Government is not prepared to reform for that would require a new way of thinking and a loss of power. That is not a consideration. They only see one direction and that is to take us into the new promised-land of economic totalitarianism.

The movement toward electronic money is moving at high speed and this says a lot about the state of the financial system. The track record of the major financial institutions is nearly perfect – they are always caught on the wrong side when a crisis breaks, which requires their bailouts. The fact that we have already seen test runs with theory-balloons flying, the major financial institutions are in no shape to withstand another economic decline.

The Government Can Manipulate Digital Accounts More Easily than Cash

An official White House panel on spying has implied that the government is manipulating the amount in people’s financial accounts.

If all money becomes digital, it would be much easier for the government to manipulate our accounts.

Indeed, numerous high-level NSA whistleblowers say that NSA spying is about crushing dissent and blackmailing opponents … not stopping terrorism.

This may sound over-the-top … but remember, the government sometimes labels its critics as “terrorists“.  If the government claims the power to indefinitely detain – or even assassinate – American citizens at the whim of the executive, don’t you think that government people would be willing to shut down, or withdraw a stiff “penalty” from a dissenter’s bank account?

If society becomes cashless, dissenters can’t hide cash.  All of their financial holdings would be vulnerable to an attack by the government.

This would be the ultimate form of control. Because – without access to money – people couldn’t resist, couldn’t hide and couldn’t escape.

LINK HERE to Source Article

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In the case of MF Global, some investors were locked out of their accounts and couldn't trade their positions for weeks. As a result many of them incurred massive losses.

 

 

CUSTODIAL RISK

QUESTION TO ANSWER: What do you really own when you buy an investment?

In our complex financial world of securities, derivatives, counterparty agreement and rehypothecation of the collateral of assets under management virtually no one has the actual physical share certificates of stocks or other assets held by their custodial financial investment firm.

"Custody Risk is one of the biggest, most important issues to consider if you want to maintain your wealth when the next round of systemic risk hits!" Graham Summers - Phoenix Capital

TWO PROBLEMS

1- CUSTODIANS OFTEN DON'T KNOW WHERE YOUR ASSETS ARE HELD

The SEC recently performed a study of some 400 investment advisor firms. As the SEC itself stated in its report - approximately one-third (140) failed to meet custody rule requirements. What this says is custodians don't know where their clients funds are! Many didn't even know they themselves were legal custodians of their clients funds!

2- YOUR ASSETS WILL LIEKLY BE FROZEN WHEN YOU NEED THEM MOST

Even if an appropriate legal framework is in place to eliminate the risk of loss of value of the securities held by the custodian in the event of its failure, it can take weeks or even months to transfer the securities to new custodians. During that time, you cannot close out open positions .. they are effectively frozen.

LINK HERE to Reference

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BY DESIGN

"I'm afraid I believe at the very top it is devious! If I connect all the dots together I cannot feel it is by accident - it by design. I think the president wants to distribute American wealth around America, but even worse is to distribute American wealth around the world. Its killing the economy and its kiliing America."

"It means (eventually) everyone is going to look towards the government for solutions - that is when totalitarian governments come in (to existence)"

 

"The only solution is single term politicians - Turkey's don't vote for an early Thanksgiving!"

 

 

JOHN BROWNE TALKS

FINANCIAL REPRESSION

FINANCIAL REPRESSION

"It is the financial repression of the ordinary individual in America. It is happening through three main avenues or arteries.

  1. POLITICALLY - The government is increasing its power almost everyday and repressing the public individual and particularly the rights of the individual. Always under the guise that it to help you! Published statistics are highly questionable; growth rates, inflation rates, unemployment rates. They are confusing people and today I read how they are forcing people out of using cash!
  2. ECONOMICALLY - We have had an enormous, unprecedented injection of cash into the economy with a $3.8T QE program. Its an experiment! It was initiated in Japan where two decades ago the BOJ said it wouldn't work but the politicians insisted they do it. After two decades it still hasn't worked. We are now doing it on a grand scheme without a pilot program. It is creating a (liquidity) trap. It is a major distortion and is crushing savers.
  3. FINANCIALLY - ZIRP is (also) crushing savers! It is savings which forms investment for the future. 62% of employment comes from small businesses where formation must be incented. That needs capital from savings. This along with increasing regulation is not only killing the consumer but the incentive to start a small business which is the key to the creation of jobs, which is key to the creation of income which is then key to savings and growth in the economy. It has all been killed by these policies.

"I don't believe the central bank is necessarily evil, just unbelievably Irresponsible!

LIQUIDITY TRAP

"I think we are now seeing a situation which you could call a liquidity trap. There is so much money around that if they start to raise interest rates they are going to discourage people even more from spending. Ordinary individuals have low wages (wages have been flat for six years at least) yet taxes are going up (the number of taxes) as well as charges (licenses and fees)"

"They are pushing on a string. It isn't liquidity that matters but wages and income!"

"How does the Fed create income without just giving us cash in the post (mail) by just sending us checks?

 

LINK HERE to the VIDEO

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The Era of Financial Repression:

Norway's Sovereign Wealth Fund says

Monetary Policy is a Risk to Watch

“Monetary policy does affect pricing in today’s market to such an extent that monetary policy itself has been a risk you have to watch .. Investors are focused more on monetary policy changes than has been generally the case, than at any time, as far as I can remember .. As anything that moves prices is a risk that has to be monitored, here the effects of monetary policy affect prices dramatically .. It’s of course always been the case with long rates, and now more significantly with the currency. That’s just a fact of the current market."

- Yngve Slyngstad, chief executive officer of Norway’s $890 billion sovereign-wealth fund

LINK HERE to the Article

"Financial repression is not a conspiracy theory, it is rather a collective set of macroprudential policies focused on controlling and reducing excessive government debt through 4 pillars - negative interest rates, inflation, ring-fencing regulations and obfuscation - to effectively transfer purchasing power from private savings." - The Financial Repression Authority

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LINK HERE to enlarge the Above Diagram

"Financial repression is not a conspiracy theory, it is rather a collective set of macroprudential policies focused on controlling and reducing excessive government debt through 4 pillars - negative interest rates, inflation, ring-fencing regulations and obfuscation - to effectively transfer purchasing power from private savings." - The Financial Repression Authority

 

Financial Repression Tutorial:

It's about Macro Prudential Policies to

Control and Reduce Government Debt

Financial Sense's Cris Sheridan interviews Gordon T Long* on financial repression .. Gord explains how financial repression is not about conspiracy theories, nor is there some official government policy for financial repression .. it's happening from macro prudential government policies focused on reducing & controlling government debt .. click on the above chart to enlarge - in the middle you will see the 4 pillars of financial repression - negative interest rates, inflation, ring-fencing regulations & obfuscation .. "Financial repression uses a combination of inflation and government control of interest rates in an environment of capital controls to confiscate the purchasing power of much of the nation's private savings." .. discussion on how to protect your investments in such an environment .. 43 minutes podcast .. courtesy thanks to Financial Sense for making this available

LINK HERE to the Podcast

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"Risk-On" & "Risk Off"

Financial Markets Timing Indicator

LINK HERE for more info on Incrementum

 

Buy & Store Gold & Silver

Outside of the Banking System

Securely Store it in

Switzerland, Hong Kong or Singapore

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The Big Macro Picture of Financial Repression:

"Financial repression is not a conspiracy theory, it is rather a collective set of macroprudential policies focused on controlling and reducing excessive government debt through 4 pillars - negative interest rates, inflation, ring-fencing regulations and obfuscation - to effectively transfer purchasing power from private savings." - The Financial Repression Authority

The chart below shows the linkages and relationships between the good intentions by governments, central banks and regulators translating into the 4 pillars of financial repression - ultimately presenting risks to the investors - savers, retirees, pension funds, endowments and sovereign wealth funds. Link to our ISSUES and SOLUTIONS pages to find out how to address these challenges and protect in this environment.

 

TUTORIAL WITH GORDON T LONG and DOLLARCOLLAPSE'S JOHN RUBINO:

 

 

TUTORIAL WITH FINANCIAL CONSULTANT DAN AMERMAN:

 

TUTORIAL WITH ALLIANZ U.S. CHIEF STRATEGIST KRISTINA HOOPER:

.

 

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Neither Gordon T Long nor the FInancial Repression Authority (nor any of its operating entities) is a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. Of course, he recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that, we encourage you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.

THE CONTENT OF ALL MATERIALS:  SLIDE PRESENTATION AND THEIR ACCOMPANYING RECORDED AUDIO DISCUSSIONS, VIDEO PRESENTATIONS, NARRATED SLIDE PRESENTATIONS AND WEBZINES (hereinafter "The Media") ARE INTENDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

The Media is not a solicitation to trade or invest, and any analysis is the opinion of the author and is not to be used or relied upon as investment advice. Trading and investing  can involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns/results. Commentary is only the opinions of the authors and should not to be used for investment decisions. You must carefully examine the risks associated with investing of any sort and whether investment programs are suitable for you. You should never invest or consider investments without a complete set of disclosure documents, and should consider the risks prior to investing. The Media is not in any way a substitution for disclosure. Suitability of investing decisions rests solely with the investor. Your acknowledgement of this Disclosure and Terms of Use Statement is a condition of access to it.  Furthermore, any investments you may make are your sole responsibility. 

THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING AND INVESTING OF ANY KIND. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Gordon emperically recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that, he  encourages you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.
  

DISCLOSURE STATEMENT

Information herein was obtained from sources which Mr. Long believes reliable, but he does not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information, advertisements, website links, or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities.

Please note that Mr. Long may already have invested or may from time to time invest in securities that are discussed or otherwise covered on this website. Mr. Long does not intend to disclose the extent of any current holdings or future transactions with respect to any particular security. You should consider this possibility before investing in any security based upon statements and information contained in any report, post, comment or recommendation you receive from him.

 

FAIR USE NOTICE  This site contains copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. We are making such material available in our efforts to advance understanding of environmental, political, human rights, economic, democracy, scientific, and social justice issues, etc. We believe this constitutes a 'fair use' of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes.

 

If you wish to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use', you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.   

COPYRIGHT  © Copyright 2010-2015 Gordon T Long. The information herein was obtained from sources which Mr. Long believes reliable, but he does not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information, advertisements, website links, or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities. Please note that Mr. Long may already have invested or may from time to time invest in securities that are recommended or otherwise covered on this website. Mr. Long does not intend to disclose the extent of any current holdings or future transactions with respect to any particular security. You should consider this possibility before investing in any security based upon statements and information contained in any report, post, comment or recommendation you receive from him.

 

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"People ask if we'll have a 'bail-in' in the United States .. Given ATM limits, foreign wire limits and Federal Reserve exit fees on bond funds, I'd say it's already here." - Jim Rickards

The 4 Pillars of Financial Repression:

1- Inflation
2- Negative Interest Rates
3- Ring Fencing
4- Obfuscation and Mis-information
 

Posts are A JOINT INITIATIVE OF

GordonTLong.com and CliffKule.com

 
 
Financial Repression always means a combination of measures that lead to a notable narrowing of the investment universe for investors. Money is thus channeled into specific directions to create a home bias.

"We’re going to take your pension plan and give you government bonds so that you have a guaranteed return .. That’s how they’ll rationalize taking our money. They know where all the pension plans are because we have to report it, so they’re easily accessible by governments. They know where they are, what they are, and they’ll be able to snatch them away. Who knows what they’ll do, but they’ll certainly find some way to take our money when things get worse, they always have." – Jim Rogers

"This manipulation of the yield on government debt is the answer for the government, and socially, it is so much more acceptable than the alternatives. Whatever you think of the history of hyperinflation, austerity, default and deflation, they are socially incredibly disruptive, incredibly socially dangerous, and many of those market-driven events have led to warfare or massive domestic social unrest. I think in the grand scheme of things when the government sits down and decides which avenue to pursue, this avenue of repression .. will always be more socially acceptable than the market-driven events of austerity, hyperinflation, deflation, devaluation." - Russell Napier, CLSA

From the U.S. standpoint, it’s now a case of 'inflate or die,' and much of the world knows this. Thus if the U.S. decides not to default on its massive debts, it will have to resort to hyperinflation. If this happens, the U.S. will single-handedly tear the world monetary system apart. What worries me is that governments will do whatever they have to in order to remain in power. This can result in confiscation of the assets of U.S. citizens .. America's massive debts will ultimately upset the world’s monetary system." - Richard Russell

"There will be future bail-ins [loss of deposits] and other types of confiscation of wealth in the eurozone, without a doubt .. There's no other realistic way forward if politicians continue to fail to deal with the basic indebtedness problem across Europe." - Lars Christensen, the Head of Saxo Bank

“By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some. The sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not only at security, but at confidence in the equity of the existing distribution of wealth.. “..There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose.”-John Maynard Keynes

The term ‘Financial Repression’ was first employed by McKinnon and Shaw in 1973 and has been rediscovered in the course of the current crisis by Reinhart and Sbrancia in their paper “The Liquidation of Government Debt.”