Investments of any kind involve risk. Please read our complete risk disclaimer and terms of use below by clicking HERE
JOHN RUBINO'SLATEST BOOKRead MoreCHARLES HUGH SMITH'SLATEST BOOKRead MoreNEW SERIES RELEASE
NOW SHOWING HELD OVER Currency Wars Euro Experiment Sultans of Swap Extend & Pretend Preserve & Protect Innovation Showings Below |
"Currency Wars "
|
"SULTANS OF SWAP" archives open in new window ACT II ACT III ALSO Sultans of Swap: Fearing the Gearing! Sultans of Swap: BP Potentially More Devistating than Lehman! |
"EURO EXPERIMENT"
EURO EXPERIMENT: |
FREE COPY...
Current Thesis Advisory:
"EXTEND & PRETEND"
PDF, 62 pages
Published November 2009
CONTACT US
Use Promo Code: INTRODUCTION
in the Email Subject
"INNOVATION"
INNOVATION: What Made America Great is Now Killing Her! America - Innovate or Die! |
"PRESERVE & PROTECT" archives open in new window |
ANALYTIC
INSIGHTS
Follow Our Updates
on TWITTER
https://twitter.com/GordonTLong
AND FOR EVEN MORE ON RETAIL
STRATEGIC MACRO INVESTMENT INSIGHTS
2014 THESIS: GLOBALIZATION TRAP
NOW AVAILABLE FREE to Trial Subscribers
185 Pages
What Are Tipping Poinits?
Understanding Abstraction & Synthesis
Global-Macro in Images: Understanding the Conclusions
Reading the right books?
No Time?
>> Click to Browse <<
We have analyzed & included
these in our latest research papers Macro Analytics videos!
OUR MACRO ANALYTIC
CO-HOSTS
John Rubino's Just Released Book
Charles Hugh Smith's Latest Books
Our Macro Watch Partner
Richard Duncan Latest Books
MACRO ANALYTIC
GUESTS
F William Engdahl
OTHERS OF NOTE
Book Review- Five Thumbs Up
for Steve Greenhut's
Plunder!
RISK IS LEAVING THE MARKET
Stealth Movements Warn of Potential Q2 Market Troubles
Published 03-28-14
Investments of any kind involve risk. Please read our complete risk disclaimer and terms of use below by clicking HERE
Market Tops are a process. There are many tell tales but the clearest to see and watch is Specualtive Risk. Market reversals from tops are often about excess leverage and its associated risk being removed.
It normally starts slowly, but steadily gains momentum. It becomes obvious to the general public when margin calls suddenly force dramatic movements in the market.
So what should we watch for? If a company has no earnings then it must be considered a specualtive play and possibly bordering on a gamble. On the other end of the spectrum, if a company has earnings, a history of earnings and pays dividends then we could say it is not a gamble but an investment. Everything between must be considered to be speculation to some degree.
GAMBLING => SPECULATION => INVESTMENT.
I have laddered some well know an easily found indexes that represent this spectrum of risk taking below.
The following charts are all measured against their 50 Day Moving Average to give us a reference point.
Examine closely the change in patterns as you decrease risk. It tells tells you what is happening with Risk.
Risk is being quietly removed. Slowly at first, then nomrally with gathering momentum across a broader range of risk levels.
EXTREME RISK: NASDAQ INTERNET GROUP
VERY HIGH RISK: NASDAQ BIOTECH GROUP
HIGH RISK: IPO INDEX
MODERATE RISK: RUSSELL 2000
MODERATE RISK: NASDAQ 100
NINVESTMENT GRADE RISK: S&P 500
CONSERVATIVE RISK: DOW JONES
CONCLUSION
Goldman reports Hedge Funds are levered to the hilt on losing: AMZN, GILD, DISH, PCLN, YHOO, and FB positions. This is not a good sign!
Signs of a healthy market are not marked by increasing short positions on Banks!
Don't say you weren't WARNED!
For more detail signup for your FREE copy of the GordonTLong.com 2014 THESIS PAPER
Signup for notification of the next MACRO INSIGHTS
Request your FREE TWO MONTH TRIAL subscription of the
Global Macro Tipping Points (GMTP) Report at GordonTLong.com
No Obligations. No Credit Card.
Gordon T Long
Publisher & Editor
general@GordonTLong.com
Gordon T Long is not a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. While he believes his statements to be true, they always depend on the reliability of his own credible sources. Of course, he recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that you are encouraged to confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.
© Copyright 2013 Gordon T Long. The information herein was obtained from sources which Mr. Long believes reliable, but he does not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information, advertisements, website links, or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities. Please note that Mr. Long may already have invested or may from time to time invest in securities that are recommended or otherwise covered on this website. Mr. Long does not intend to disclose the extent of any current holdings or future transactions with respect to any particular security. You should consider this possibility before investing in any security based upon statements and information contained in any report, post, comment or suggestions you receive from him.