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MACRO ECONOMIC & RISK ANALYSIS

THESIS 2014: THE GLOBALIZATION TRAP THESIS 2013: Statism THESIS 2012: Financial Repression THESIS 2011: Beggar-Thy Neighbor THESIS 2010: Extend & Pretend Request FREE THESIS Passwords Access

AUGUST 2016: GLOBAL MACRO TIPPING POINT - (Subscription Plan III) AMERICA MUST CHOOSE THE ROAD AHEAD - An Election for the Sole of America There is a US Recession coming and potentially a Global Recession. The Central Bankers are acutely aware of this and are tring to head it off at the pass with extraordinary liquidity infusions. The combined injections are now $180B per month which is easily double QE3 was. This is a level never seen before and if Japan follows with a rumored 28T in YEN liqudity there can be little doubt the global G4 central bankers have pushed the panic button! As expected the liquidity is temporarily buoying the financial markets. What can only be described as chaos within the current US Presidental cycle is adding to the instability associated with Brexit, gloabl terrorist attacks and Geo-Political events (Turkey) and conficts (South China Sea and Korea). MORE>> EXPANDED COVERAGE INCLUDING AUDIO & MONTHLY UPDATE SUMMARY �

AUGUST 2016: MONTHLY MARKET COMMENTARY (Subscription Plan II) AMERICA MUST CHOOSE THE ROAD AHEAD - An Election for the Sole of America We have predicted since before the Dotcom Bubble implosion that the direction in America was a centrist view towards stronger totalitarian regimes. This was confirmed during the Presidencies of both George Bush II and Barack Obama The Presidential Primaries have further illustrated this direction. Our abstraction model still suggests that a global fiat failure lies ahead at which time a “New World Order” will be brought into existence during the ensuing chaos. We can only hope it will be in the best interests of all people. Certainly it will be sold as such. We are now conditioned to believe much of what we are told without questioning it and that the government is the answer to most problems. The 2016US Election will be more than an election. It will be about the sole of America though most won't recognize it as such! MORE>>

MARKET & TECHNO-FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

AUGUST 2016 : MARKET & TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - (Subscription Plan IV) It would appear that the Swiss National Bank is assisting in holding up the US Equity m,arkets in a stealth fashion. The Swiss National Bank (A SWAP Proxy for the Fed or US Treasury?) has acquired $60B of SPECIFIC US Equities! Since the end of QE3 (Oct 2014), the broadest measure of the US equity market (NYSE Composite) is modestly lower (-1.2%). SWISS NATIONAL BANK HOLDING UP THE US MARKET $60B SHOULD ABOUT DO IT! Swiss National Bank are big holders of the "Fab 5" NOTE: The following article appeared just after the release of this month's MATA video "POLICY MAKERS HAVE CHANGED THE FUNCTION OF THE MARKETS". The Bank of Japan Will Be The Top Shareholder Of 55 Companies By The End Of 2017 With the BOJ already a top-five owner of 81 companies in Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average,�the BOJ is on course to become the No. 1 shareholder in 55 of those firms by the end of next year.�Just as insane,�the central bank owned about 60% of Japan’s domestic ETFs at the end of June. This is up from just over half as of a few months ago suggesting that the BOJ is gobbling up equities at an unprecedented pace. The MORE>> EXPANDED COVERAGE INCLUDING AUDIO & EXECUTIVE BRIEF

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Macro Watch is a video newsletter published quarterly by Richard Duncan. It analyzes trends in credit growth, liquidity and government policy in order to anticipate their impact on economic activity and asset prices.

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In this new age of fiat money, credit growth drives economic growth, liquidity determines the direction of asset prices and the government controls both through aggressive policy intervention.

Macro Watch�analyzes trends in credit growth, liquidity and government policy with the goal of anticipating economic developments and their impact on the financial markets.

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