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DOW 20,000? Part I

Lance Roberts

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Charles Hugh Smith

DOW 20,000? Part III

John Rubino

DOW 20,000? Part IV

Bert Dohman & Ty Andros

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"PRESERVE & PROTE

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PRESERVE & PROTECT:� The Jaws of Death

PRESERVE & PROTECT:� Mapping the Tipping Points

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Mon. Jan. 11th, 2016

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Today's Tipping Points Page
Complete Archives

KEY TO TIPPING POINTS
1- Bond Bubble
2 - Risk Reversal
3 - Geo-Political Event
4 - China Hard Landing
5 - Japan Debt Deflation Spiral
6- EU Banking Crisis
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7- Sovereign Debt Crisis
8 - Shrinking Revenue Growth Rate
9 - Chronic Unemployment
10 - US Stock Market Valuations
11 - Global Governance Failure
12 - Chronic Global Fiscal ImBalances
13 - Growing Social Unrest
14 - Residential Real Estate - Phase II
15 - Commercial Real Estate
16 - Credit Contraction II
17- State & Local Government
18 - Slowing Retail & Consumer Sales
19 - US Reserve Currency
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20 - US Dollar
21 - Financial Crisis Programs Expiration
22 - US Banking Crisis II
23 - China - Japan Regional Conflict
24 - Corruption
25 - Public Sentiment & Confidence
26 - Food Price Pressures
27 - Global Output Gap
28 - Pension - Entitlement Crisis
29 - Central & Eastern Europe
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30 - Terrorist Event
31 - Pandemic / Epidemic
32 - Rising Inflation Pressures & Interest Pressures
33 - Resource Shortage
34 - Cyber Attack or Complexity Failure
35 - Corporate Bankruptcies
36 - Iran Nuclear Threat
37- Finance & Insurance Balance Sheet Write-Offs
38- Government Backstop Insurance
39 - Oil Price Pressures
40 - Natural Physical Disaster

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TODAY'S TIPPING POINTS
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HOTTEST TIPPING POINTS
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Theme Groupings

We post throughout the day as we do our Investment Research for:

LONGWave - UnderTheLens - Macro

Scroll TWEETS for LATEST Analysis

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"BEST OF THE WEEK "

MOST CRITICAL TIPPING POINT ARTICLES TODAY

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TIPPING POINTS, STUDIES, THESIS, THEMES & SII

COVERAGE THIS WEEK PREVIOUSLY POSTED - (BELOW)

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FINANCIAL REPRESSION

 01-11-16 �

FINANCIAL REPRESSION

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THE ‘CRISIS OF TRUST’ SIGNALS A ‘FAILURE OF LEADERSHIP’

Recent research released by both the�Pew Research Center�and�Gallup��warn of an accelerating�erosion in confidence in our government, politicians and the political process. It is clear to most that we�have a growing “Crisis of Trust” which is signaling a “Failure of Leadership” as�governments steadily exert increasing power and authority over our lives!

FOUR YEARS AGO WE BECAME SERIOUSLY ALARMED!

In the fall of 2012 having become seriously alarmed, we wrote our annual thesis paper entitled “STATISM” and laid out the frightening�direction of US�political leadership. We had initially hoped it was a cyclical pattern which�had reached a�cyclical bottom.

Shift_Towards_Statism-4

WE FOCUSED, MAPPED & TRACKED IT

Our subsequent�research efforts have�resulted in a large supporting �video library�of expert guest interviews at�Macro � embellishing on�each of the sequentially emerging boxes in the following road-map and additionally the creation of the�Financial Repression Authority�to understand how our sacred public freedoms were being unwittingly surrendered through financial bondage.

07-15-12-Macro_-Roadmap

The detailed�research included a�focus on the driving linkages between the identified stages as the developed economies (and the US in particular) accelerated�towards more centralized government control of almost all facets of our lives.

01-10-16-Central_Planning_Road-Map

01-10-16-Orwell-Huxley

WHERE WE FIND OURSELVES TODAY

The facts are overwhelming and indisputable for anyone taking the time (which�we did) to do their�‘due diligence’. �Time and space which we don’t have here.

As we now agonizingly watch�the US Presidential Primary Campaigns, cognoscente of�what we previously�witnessed�in the UK (Jeremy Corbyn), Italy (Beppo Brillo), France (Marie Le Pen) and a raft of other political hot areas, we see a now unquestionable deteriorating�shift.�A shift firmly rooted�in a Crisis of Trust and a direct result of a Failure of Leadership.

Shift_Towards_Statism-3c

ONE CRISIS WAY FROM A MONUMENTAL “TOTALITARIAN” MISTAKE

The Financial Repression Authority is presently�concerned�that a Geo-political event, conflict or crisis could soon �abruptly�catapult the developed economies into a mistaken�political direction and a deeper cyclical low. A cycle�which is presently already on a dangerous trajectory. �Paul Craig Roberts (a former US Assistant Treasury Secretary) just frustratingly penned “The Rule Of Law No Longer Exists In Western Civilization” outlining�the seriousness of criminal and immoral actions by the US government. He illustrates that the�dictatorial methods �and unlegislated executive orders by the current President to overturn the Second Amendment are now the political leadership ‘order of the day’ and writes: “He (Obama) has the corrupt US Department of Justice, a criminal organization, looking for ways for the dictator to overturn both Congressional legislation and Supreme Court rulings.”

CONCLUSION

Paul Craig Roberts �and the Financial Repression Authority (FRA) sadly concludes – “Out of Evil comes Dictatorship”

Shift_Towards_Statism-1b

As the insightful Canadian national anthem warns�so well, we must all�“Stand on Guard for Thee!”

Never more than today.

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MOST CRITICAL TIPPING POINT ARTICLES THIS WEEK - Jan 10th, 2016 - Jan 16th, 2016 � � �
TIPPING POINTS - This Week - Normally a Tuesday Focus
BOND BUBBLE � � 1
RISK REVERSAL - WOULD BE MARKED BY: Slowing Momentum, Weakening Earnings, Falling Estimates � � 2
GEO-POLITICAL EVENT � � 3
CHINA BUBBLE � � 4
JAPAN - DEBT DEFLATION � � 5

EU BANKING CRISIS

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MACRO News Items of Importance - This Week

GLOBAL MACRO REPORTS & ANALYSIS

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US ECONOMIC REPORTS & ANALYSIS

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CENTRAL BANKING MONETARY POLICIES, ACTIONS & ACTIVITIES � � �
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Market - WEDNESDAY STUDIES
STUDIES - MACRO pdf � � �

TECHNICALS & MARKET

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 STUDY �
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COMMODITY CORNER - AGRI-COMPLEX � � �
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THESIS - Mondays Posts on Financial Repression & Posts on Thursday as Key Updates Occur
2015 - FIDUCIARY FAILURE 2015 THESIS 2015
2014 - GLOBALIZATION TRAP 2014

2013 - STATISM

2013-1H

2013-2H

2012 - FINANCIAL REPRESSION

2012

2013

2014

FINANCIAL REPRESSION

 01-04-16 �

FINANCIAL REPRESSION

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A “WITCH’S BREW” BUBBLING IN BOND ETFs

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2011 - BEGGAR-THY-NEIGHBOR -- CURRENCY WARS

2011

2012

2013

2014

2010 - EXTEND & PRETEND

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THEMES - Normally a Thursday "Themes" Post & a Friday "Flows" Post
I - POLITICAL
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CENTRAL PLANNING - SHIFTING ECONOMIC POWER - STATISM

MACRO MAP - EVOLVING ERA OF CENTRAL PLANNING

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 G THEME �
- - CRISIS OF TRUST - Era of Uncertainty G THEME �

CORRUPTION & MALFEASANCE - MORAL DECAY - DESPERATION - RESENTMENT.

 US THEME PAGE
- - SECURITY-SURVEILLANCE COMPLEX - STATISM G THEME �
- - CATALYSTS - FEAR (POLITICALLY) & GREED (FINANCIALLY) G THEME �
II-ECONOMIC
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GLOBAL RISK � � �
- GLOBAL FINANCIAL IMBALANCE - FRAGILITY, COMPLEXITY & INSTABILITY G THEME �
- - SOCIAL UNREST - INEQUALITY & A BROKEN SOCIAL CONTRACT US THEME �
- - ECHO BOOM - PERIPHERAL PROBLEM M THEME �
- -GLOBAL GROWTH & JOBS CRISIS � � �
- - - PRODUCTIVITY PARADOX - NATURE OF WORK � THEME

MA w/ CHS

� 01-08-16 THEME

MA w/ CHS

- - - STANDARD OF LIVING - EMPLOYMENT CRISIS, SUB-PRIME ECONOMY US THEME
MA w/ CHS
III-FINANCIAL
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FLOWS -FRIDAY FLOWS

FLOWS - Liqudity, Credit & Debt

LIQUIDITY: Central Bank Liquidity Increases has slowed or Stopped

>> CREDIT: Cycle has turned

DEBT: Defaults/ Bankruptcies Will Emerge

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MATA

RISK ON-OFF

THEME

w/ R Duncan

CRACKUP BOOM - ASSET BUBBLE 12-31-15 THEME �
SHADOW BANKING - LIQUIDITY / CREDIT ENGINE M THEME �
GENERAL INTEREST

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STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INSIGHTS - Weekend Coverage
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RETAIL - CRE

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US DOLLAR

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YEN WEAKNESS

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OIL WEAKNESS

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Tipping Points Life Cycle - Explained
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Gordon T Long is not a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time.�Of course, he recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that, we encourage you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.

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