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23 Nations Around The World Where Stock Market Crashes Are Already HappeningPosted:Tue, 18 Aug 2015 14:54:28 GMTSubmitted by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog, You can stop waiting for a global financial crisis to happen.� The truth is that one is happening right now.� All over the world, stock markets are already crashing.� Most of these stock market crashes are occurring in nations that are known as “emerging markets”.� In recent years, developing countries in Asia, South America and Africa loaded up on lots of cheap loans that were denominated in U.S. dollars.� But now that the U.S. dollar has been surging, those borrowers are finding that it takes much more of their own local currencies to service those loans.� At the same time,�prices are crashing�for many of the commodities that those countries export.� The exact same kind of double whammy caused the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s and the Asian financial crisis of the 1990s. As you read this article, almost every single stock market in the world is down significantly from a record high that was set either earlier this year or late in 2014.� But even though stocks have been sliding in the western world, they haven’t completely collapsed just yet. In much of the developing world, it is a very different story.� Emerging market currencies are crashing hard, recessions are starting, and equity prices are getting absolutely hammered. Posted below is a list that I put together of 23 nations around the world where stock market crashes are already happening.� To see the stock market chart for each country, just click the link… 1.�Malaysia 2.�Brazil 3.�Egypt 4.�China 5.�Indonesia 6.�South Korea 7.�Turkey 8.�Chile 9.�Colombia 10.�Peru 11.�Bulgaria 12.�Greece 13.�Poland 14.�Serbia 15.�Slovenia 16.�Ukraine 17.�Ghana 18.�Kenya 19.�Morocco 20.�Nigeria 21.�Singapore 22.�Taiwan 23.�Thailand Of course this is just the beginning.� The western world is going to feel this kind of pain as well very soon.��I want to share with you an excerpt from an article that just appeared in the Telegraph entitled “Doomsday clock for global market crash strikes one minute to midnight as central banks lose control“.� You see, the Telegraph is not just one of the most important newspapers in the UK – it is truly one of the most important newspapers in the entire world.� When it speaks on financial matters, millions of people listen very carefully.� So for the Telegraph to declare that the countdown to a “global market crash” is “one minute to midnight” is a very, very big deal…
I encourage you to read the rest of that excellent article�right here.� It contains lots of charts and graphs, and it discusses many of the exact same things that I have been hammering on for months. When one of the newspapers of record for the entire planet starts sounding�exactly like The Economic Collapse Blog, then you know that it is late in the game. Others are sounding the alarm about an imminent global financial crash as well.� For example, just consider what Egon von Greyerz recently�told King World News…
Hmm – there is another example of someone talking about September.� It is funny how often that monthkeeps coming up. And of course most of the major stock market crashes in U.S. history have been in the fall.� Just go back and take a look at what happened in 1929, 1987, 2001 and 2008. The “smart money” has been pulling their money out of stocks for quite a while now, and at this point a lot of others have hopped on the bandwagon.� The following comes from�CNBC…
A global financial crisis has already begun. So those that were claiming that one would not happen in 2015�are already wrong. Over the coming months we will find out how bad it will ultimately be. Sometimes I get criticized for talking about these things.� There are a few people out there that don’t like all of the “doom and gloom” that I discuss on my website.� Apparently it is a bad thing to talk about the things that really matter and we should all just be “keeping up with the Kardashians” instead. I consider myself just to be another watchman on the wall.� From our spots on the wall, watchmen such as myself all over the nation are sounding the alarm about what we clearly see coming. If we saw what was coming and we did not warn the people, their blood would be on our hands.� But if we do warn the people, then we have done our duty. Every day I just do the best that I can with what I have been given.� And there are many others just like me that are doing exactly the same thing. Those that do not like the warning message are going to feel really stupid when things start falling apart all around them and they finally realize how wrong they truly were. |
08-19-15 | STUDIES | |
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| MOST CRITICAL TIPPING POINT ARTICLES THIS WEEK - August 16th, 2015 - August 22nd, 2015 | � | � | � |
| BOND BUBBLE | � | � | 1 |
| RISK REVERSAL - WOULD BE MARKED BY: Slowing Momentum, Weakening Earnings, Falling Estimates | � | � | 2 |
| GEO-POLITICAL EVENT | � | � | 3 |
| CHINA BUBBLE | � | � | 4 |
� China Stocks Crash, More Than Half Of Market Halted Limit Down; PBOC Loss Of Control Spooks Global AssetsJust hours after the PBOC announced a�modestly "revalued" fixing�in the CNY, which curiously led to weaker trading in the onshore Yuan for most of the day before a forceful last minute intervention by the central bank pushed it back down to 6.39 it was the local stock market spinning plate - which had been relatively stable during the entire FX devaluation process - that China lost control over, and after 7 days of margin debt increases the Shanghai Composite plunged by 6.2% in late trade,�tumbling 245 points to 3748, just 240 points above its recent trough on July 8, a closing level some 27% off its June peak. Indonesia Impaled: Currency Crashes To 1998 Asian Crisis Low As Exports CraterOn Monday we laid out the rather dire road ahead for the world’s emerging economies in the face of China’s entry into the global currency wars. The path ahead is riddled with exported deflation and decreased trade competitiveness for a whole host of emerging economies [and] all of this is set against a backdrop of declining global growth and trade, a trend which many had assumed was merely cyclical, but which in fact may prove to be structural and endemic."�Well don’t look now, but trade just collapsed for Indonesia as exports and imports plunged 19.2% and 28.4% (more than double to consensus estimate), respectively in July.�Meanwhile, the rupiah is sitting near multi-decade lows. Asian Currency Crisis Continues As China Holds, Malaysia Folds, & Japan Heads For Quintuple Dip RecessionAsia got off to an inauspicious start this evening with�Japan printing a disappointing 1.6% drop in GDP - heading for its fifth recession in 6 years...�so much for Abenomics, but, of course, Amari spewed forth some standard propaganda that he expects Japan to recover moderately (and Japanese stocks popped modestly assuming moar QQE). Then Malaysia continued its collapse with the�Ringgit down another 1% hitting fresh 17-year lows�and stocks dropping further,�as the Asian Currency crisis continues. Heading into the China open, offshore Yuan signaled further devaluation but the CNY Fix printed very modestly stronger at 6.3969; and following last week's best gains in 2 months,�Chinese stocks are plunging at the open�after Chinese farmers�extend their streak of margin debt increases. Finally,�WTI Crude drifted back to a $41 handle�in early futures trading. �Futures Flat As Oil Drops To Fresh 6 Year Low; EM Currencies Crumble Under Continuing FX WarIt was a relatively quiet weekend out of China, where FX warfare has taken a back seat to evaluating the full damage from the Tianjin explosion which as we reported on Saturday has prompted the evacuation of a 3 km radius around the blast zone, and instead it was Japan that featured prominently in Sunday's headlines after its Q2 GDP tumbled by 1.6% (a number which would have been far worse had Japan used a correct deflator), and is now halfway to its�fifth recession in the past 6 year,�underscoring Abenomics complete success in desrtoying Japan's economy just to get a few rich people richer. Of course, economic disintegration is great news for stocks, and courtesy of the latest Yen collapse driven by the bad GDP data which has raised the likelihood of even more Japanese QE, the Nikkei closed 100 points, or 0.5% higher.� � |
08-18-15 | TP - CHINA THEMES ECHO BOOM � |
4 - China Hard Landing |
Submitted by�Tyler Durden�on 08/18/2015 07:53 Indonesia Impaled: Currency Crashes To 1998 Asian Crisis Low As Exports CraterOn Monday�we laid out�the rather dire road ahead for the world’s emerging economies in the face of China’s entry into the global currency wars. The path ahead is riddled with exported deflation and decreased trade competitiveness for a whole host of emerging economies [and] all of this is set against a backdrop of declining global growth and trade, a trend which many had assumed was merely cyclical, but which in fact may prove to be structural and endemic." Well don’t look now, but�trade just collapsed for Indonesia�as exports and imports plunged 19.2% and 28.4% (more than double to consensus estimate), respectively in July. Imports of raw materials dove 24%.�Manufacturing and palm oil exports fell 7.1% and 2.4%, respectively, nearly tripling June’s declines.�Oil and gas exports fell nearly 8%. Meanwhile, Bank of Indonesia kept its policy rate on hold at 7.5% and indeed the bank looks to be stuck in a dilemma similar to what we described earlier this month when we noted that "EM central bankers are grappling with slumping exports and FX-pass through inflation or, more simply, bankers are caught between a 'can’t cut to boost the economy' rock and a 'can’t hike to tame inflation' hard place.�The rupiah, like the Malaysian ringgit, is trading near multi-decade lows and hit its weakest level since August 1998 earlier in the session.Depressed commodity prices and slumping demand from China aren’t helping.� And neither is Beijing's devaluation of the yuan which means that suddenly, Indonesia has lost export competitiveness to China while anything China imports from Indonesia will now cost more.� "We believe there is a strong case for the central bank remaining on hold this year," Barclays notes, adding that�"BI is visibly more reluctant to weaken the IDR in the near term, to avoid stoking imported price pressures[and] the commodity drag due to weaker demand from China has not subsided." Similarly,�Toru Nishihama, EM economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute says the�"hurdle is higher for BI to cut rate due to the rupiah’s move�even though inflation will slow toward year-end due to base effect from last year’s fuel price increase." Of course cuts, even if they do come, are now less effective in terms of boosting exports as the yuan devaluation puts upward pressure on regional NEER.� In other words, there are no right answers. Just more pain and further pressure on the�beleaguered economy and severely battered currency and further evidence that between China's entry into the global currency wars, depressed global commodity prices, the threat of an imminent Fed hike, and a generally lackluster environment for global demand and trade, the world's emerging markets face a perfect storm with no end in sight. |
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EU BANKING CRISIS |
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FINANCIAL REPRESSION The Unseen Consequences of Zero Interest Rate Policy Incrementum's Ronald-Peter St�ferle explains how central banks with a zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) in place are creating unintenddd consequences & associated adverse risks to investors & retirees .. it's financial repression .. "With artificial stimulus like ZIRP, we only end up with a situation in which governments, financial institutions, entrepreneurs, and consumers who should actually be declared insolvent all remain on artificial life support." .. with the unintended consequences being: 1. Conservative investors by nature come under increasing pressure with respect to their investments & take on excessive risks in light of the prospect that interest rates will remain low in the long term. This leads to capital misallocation & the emergence of bubbles. 2. The sweet poison of low interest rates leads to massive asset price inflation (stocks, bonds, works of art, real estate). 3. Structurally too low interest rates in industrialized nations due to carry trades lead to the emergence of asset price bubbles & contagion effects in emerging markets. 4. Changes in human behavior patterns occur, due to continually declining purchasing power. 5. As a result of the structurally too low level of interest rates, a 'culture of instant gratification' is created, which is among other things characterized by the fact that consumption is financed with credit instead of savings. 6. The medium of exchange and unit of account function of money increases in importance, while its role as a store of value declines. 7. Incentives for fiscal discipline decline. 8. Zombie banks are created: Low interest rates prevent the healthy process of creative destruction. 9. Banks are enabled to roll over potentially non-performing loans practically indefinitely & can thus lower their write-off requirements. 9. Newly created money is neither uniformly nor simultaneously distributed amongst the population� � The Unintended Consequences of Financial Repression: "The Impossibility of Meeting Return Targets" Greenwich Associates conducted a study on German institutions .. some quotes from the study: “The low interest rate environment makes it impossible to meet return targets. We have not yet found a solution.” — German Public Pension Fund. “Low interest rates are a problem. As a reaction, we have globalized our investments and invested in higher risk asset classes.” — German Foundation “Primary challenge is the low interest rates. The only chance to avoid this is to do things you didn’t do before.” — German Insurer. For many institutions in Germany, “doing things they didn’t do before” means investing significant amounts of assets in something other than domestic & government bonds. � |
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